Goal
The goal of this study is to assess summertime ozone sensitivity to volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and oxides of nitrogen (NOx) and the effects of changing conditions (wildfire smoke, heat, drought, plant stress) on ozone concentrations, particularly in the Northern Wasatch Front (NWF) area, a serious non-attainment area for the 8-hour ozone standard.
Methodology
The study will focus on the Formaldehyde-Nitrogen Ratio (FNR), derived from satellite measurements of formaldehyde (HCHO) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) from the TROPOMI (2019-2025) and TEMPO (2023-2025) satellites, as a key indicator of whether ozone production is NOx-sensitive or VOC-sensitive.
The project will use an existing Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform called the HAQAST Smoke Console and develop new Utah-specific tools within GEE to integrate satellite data, surface monitor data (O3, PM2.5), meteorological data, and land cover indicators (NDVI, VPD, and LAI).
Machine learning tools (k-means cluster analysis, random forest regression) will be used to categorize ozone events (e.g., smoke events) and model effects.
Expected Outputs and Deliverables
- Utah-specific thresholds for TROPOMI and TEMPO FNRs.
- FNR products and analyses focusing on smoke, rising temperatures, and drought.
- Machine learning tools and Utah-specific Google Earth Engine toolkits (apps and JavaScript code) with user guides.
- Quarterly and Final Reports, and a draft manuscript for a journal.
Project Details
- Principal Investigator: Tracey Holloway (University of Wisconsin – Madison)
- Study Period: July 1, 2025 – June 30, 2026
- Funded by Science for Solutions Research Grant: $101,133.87